天易网

 找回密码
 注册
查看: 7231|回复: 121

[群策中国] 中国GDP将超过美国成为头号超级大国?

[复制链接]
发表于 8/11/2014 00:47:50 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
本帖最后由 郭国汀 于 8/11/2014 13:17 编辑

清华大学国际关系学院院长阎学通于是2014年4月10日答记者采访时说:2023年东亚的经济规模将超过西欧、东欧和俄罗斯的总和。中国将成为与美国平起平坐的超级大国,两国间的竞争将日趋激化。估且不论中共政权一以贯之的欺诈成性,也不论专制暴政下人民的愚昧无知,更不用说当下中国贫富差距早已超过巴西,名列全球第一高达06.1,充分的历史事实早已证是:只要中共党国体制的专制独裁暴政一日不灭亡,中国人民的深重苦难绝对不止。

 楼主| 发表于 8/11/2014 00:48:37 | 显示全部楼层
International political economic specialists increase asked whether China’s experience in economic growth constitutes a model which could be transplanted to other developing stats(Lanteigne 2009:11). Today many state populations have positive views of China, some polls there are states that have a higher regard for China than they do for the US(11).
 楼主| 发表于 8/11/2014 00:49:30 | 显示全部楼层
A World Bank July 2008 report concluded that “China’sinvestments ease Africa’s poverty”. AustralianPrime Minister Kevin Rudd told the Brookings Institution on March 31, 2008 that“China’s experience would be invaluable to other developing nations.”

 楼主| 发表于 8/11/2014 00:50:31 | 显示全部楼层
Deng Xiaoping in 1985 told an African head of state that there was no Chinese model to emulate. Deng averred that all nations must adopt growth policies suitable to their own particular circumstances (Friedman 4). Since economic reforms were initiated in China in 1979, more than two-thirds of all the poverty wiped-out on the planet earth has been in China. This monumental achievement suggests that there is much to learn from the Chinese experience.
 楼主| 发表于 8/11/2014 00:51:48 | 显示全部楼层
As a Congolese minister put it, “the Chinese are fantastic”(Friedman 5)asuperpower within Asia as potentially a nation with the ability to change thefuture direction of global events. By 2020, China hopes to rival the US(Sengupta 2003:389).[1]


[1]Martin Sengupta (2003) Is China the NextSuperpower?, Defense & Security Analysis, 19:4,389-404.



 楼主| 发表于 8/11/2014 00:53:09 | 显示全部楼层
China has arrived andwill increasingly shape our future, not just its own (Jacques 2005:6), Chinahas suddenly become the all absorbing topic for those professionally concernedwith the future of the planet (Skidelsky 2005) , in many spheres, China hasbecome a leading issue for politicians, economists,  environmentalists, generals, admirals andmedia figures(Scott 2008: 1). [1]


[1]David Scott, The Chinese Century? The Challenge to Global Order, PalgraneMacMillan, 2008.



 楼主| 发表于 8/11/2014 00:54:09 | 显示全部楼层
China has arrived. Aftertwo centuries at the periphery of world affairs, China has returned to thecenter (Mandelson 2007) many of the greatest questions thrown up in the courseof the century will be answered in Chinese characters ( Anderson 2008), Chinais the future, or at least will profoundly shape the future global order. Thefuture: China changes the whole world. China with the ability tochange the future direction of global events(Sengupta2003:4).

 楼主| 发表于 8/11/2014 00:54:51 | 显示全部楼层
Chinese economy will overtake the US economy in the year 2013.China is well on its way to becoming an economic superpower(Sengupta 2003:395).If it continues with its economic reform,China’s economy should exceed that ofthe United States within the next 15 years(Sengupta 2003:402)

 楼主| 发表于 8/11/2014 00:55:11 | 显示全部楼层
China in the twenty-first century will provide an alternative tothe United States and will play the role of a non-hegemonic superpower(Forges& Luo2001:485). China had become an economic superpower. Actually, China’srapid rise to become a major power already is a world-transforming phenomenon(Friedman 2008:18).

 楼主| 发表于 8/11/2014 00:57:08 | 显示全部楼层
Theexisting literature on China’s rise to economic super-powerdom, forecasts theshort- and long-term prospects of the Chinese economy to achieve a sustainedrapid growth of the GDP, eventually replacing the USA as the leading superpower(see Babones 2011[1];Eichengreen, Park and Shin 2011[2];and Subramanian 2011[3]).


[1] Babones,Salvatore. “The Middling Kingdom.” ForeignAffairs 90, 5 (2011): 79-88.

[2]Eichengreen, Barry, Donghyun Park and Kwanho Shin. “When FastGrowing Economies Slow Down: International Evidence and Implications forChina.” NBER Working Paper No. 16919. Cambridge, MA: NBER, 2011.

[3] Subramanian,Arvind. “The Inevitable Superpower.” ForeignAffairs 90, 5 (2011): 66-78.



您需要登录后才可以回帖 登录 | 注册

本版积分规则


站内文章仅为网友提供更多信息,不代表本网站同意其说法或描述,也不构成任何建议。本网站仅为网友提供交流平台,对网友自由上传的文字和图片等,本网站
不为其版权和内容等负责。站内部分内容转载自其它社区、论坛或各种媒体,有些原作者未知。如您认为站内的某些内容属侵权,请及时与我们联络并进行处理。
关于我们|隐私政策|免责条款|版权声明|网站导航|帮助中心
道至大 道天成

小黑屋|手机版|Archiver|联系我们|天易综合网 (Twitter@wolfaxcom)

GMT-5, 9/23/2017 18:35 , Processed in 0.037241 second(s), 8 queries , Gzip On, Apc On.

Copyright 天易网 network. All Rights Reserved.

© 2009-2015 .

快速回复 返回顶部 返回列表